Browsing Applied Mathematics by Author "Bauch, Chris T."
Now showing items 21-40 of 48
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Evaluation Of Serogroup C And Acwy Meningococcal Vaccine Programs: Projected Impact On Disease Burden According To A Stochastic Two-Strain Dynamic Model
Vickers, David M.; Anonychuk, Andrea M.; De Wals, Philippe; Demarteau, Nadia; Bauch, Chris T. (Elsevier, 2015-01-01)Objective: Advisory committees in Canada and the United States have updated recommendations for quadrivalent meningococcal conjugate vaccines against serogroups A, C, W135, and Y. Our objective was to evaluate optimally ... -
Global Land Use Implications of Dietary Trends
Rizvi, Sarah; Pagnutti, Chris; Fraser, Evan; Bauch, Chris T.; Anand, Madhur (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 2017-09-28)Global food security and agricultural land management represent two urgent and intimately related challenges that humans must face. We quantify the changes in the global agricultural land footprint if the world were to ... -
Global land use implications of dietary trends
Rizvi, Sarah; Pagnutti, Chris; Fraser, Evan; Bauch, Chris T.; Anand, Madhur (PLOS One, 2018-08-08)Global food security and agricultural land management represent two urgent and intimately related challenges that humans must face. We quantify the changes in the global agricultural land footprint if the world were to ... -
The Impact Of Aggregating Serogroups In Dynamic Models Of Neisseria Meningitidis Transmission
Poore, Keith D.; Bauch, Chris T. (BioMed Central, 2015-07-30)Background: Neisseria meningitidis (Nm) is a pathogen of multiple serogroups that is highly prevalent in many populations. Serogroups associated with invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) in Canada, for example, include A, ... -
The Impact Of Human-Environment Interactions On The Stability Of Forest-Grassland Mosaic Ecosystems
Innes, Clinton; Anand, Madhur; Bauch, Chris T. (Nature Publishing Group, 2013-09-19)Forest-grassland mosaic ecosystems can exhibit alternative stables states, whereby under the same environmental conditions, the ecosystem could equally well reside either in one state or another, depending on the initial ... -
Impacts Of Constrained Culling And Vaccination On Control Of Foot And Mouth Disease In Near-Endemic Settings: A Pair Approximation Model
Ringa, Notice; Bauch, Chris T. (Elsevier, 2014-12-01)Many countries have eliminated foot and mouth disease (FMD), but outbreaks remain common in other countries. Rapid development of international trade in animals and animal products has increased the risk of disease ... -
The Impacts Of Simultaneous Disease Intervention Decisions On Epidemic Outcomes
Andrews, Michael A.; Bauch, Chris T. (Elsevier, 2016-04-21)Mathematical models of the interplay between disease dynamics and human behavioural dynamics can improve our understanding of how diseases spread when individuals adapt their behaviour in response to an epidemic. Accounting ... -
The influence of social behaviour on competition between virulent pathogen strains
Pharaon, Joe; Bauch, Chris T. (Elsevier, 2018-10-14)Infectious disease interventions like contact precautions and vaccination have proven effective in disease control and elimination. The priority given to interventions can depend strongly on how virulent the pathogen is, ... -
The Influence Of Social Norms On The Dynamics Of Vaccinating Behaviour For Paediatric Infectious Diseases
Oraby, Tamer; Thampi, Vivek; Bauch, Chris T. (Royal Society, The, 2014-04-07)Mathematical models that couple disease dynamics and vaccinating behaviour often assume that the incentive to vaccinate disappears if disease prevalence is zero. Hence, they predict that vaccine refusal should be the rule, ... -
Interconnections accelerate collapse in a socio-ecological metapopulation
Dockstader, Zachary; Bauch, Chris T.; Anand, Madhur (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, 2017-09-28)Resource over-exploitation can have profound effects on both ecosystems and the human populations residing in them. Models of population growth based on a depletable resources have been studied previously, but relatively ... -
Landowner Perceptions Of The Value Of Natural Forest And Natural Grassland In A Mosaic Ecosystem In Southern Brazil
Henderson, Kirsten A.; Reis, Mateus; Blanco, Carolina C.; Pillar, Valerio D.; Printes, Rodrigo C.; Bauch, Chris T.; Anand, Madhur (Springer, 2016-03-01)The forest-grassland mosaics of southern Brazil have been subject to many land use and policy changes over the decades. Like many grasslands around the world, the Campos grasslands are declining with few conservation efforts ... -
Modelling Interactions Between Forest Pest Invasions And Human Decisions Regarding Firewood Transport Restrictions
Barlow, Lee-Ann; Cecile, Jacob; Bauch, Chris T.; Anand, Madhur (Public Library of Science, 2014-04-15)The invasion of nonnative, wood-boring insects such as the Asian longhorned beetle (A. glabripennis) and the emerald ash borer (A. planipennis) is a serious ecological and economic threat to Canadian deciduous and mixed-wood ... -
Modelling Science Trustworthiness Under Publish Or Perish Pressure
Grimes, David Robert; Bauch, Chris T.; Ioannidis, John P. A. (Royal Society, The, 2018-01-01)Scientific publication is immensely important to the scientific endeavour. There is, however, concern that rewarding scientists chiefly on publication creates a perverse incentive, allowing careless and fraudulent conduct ... -
Nine Challenges In Incorporating The Dynamics Of Behaviour In Infectious Diseases Models
Funk, Sebastian; Bansal, Shweta; Bauch, Chris T.; Eames, Ken T. D.; Edmunds, W. John; Galvani, Alison P.; Klepac, Petra (Elsevier, 2015-03-01)Traditionally, the spread of infectious diseases in human populations has been modelled with static parameters. These parameters, however, can change when individuals change their behaviour. If these changes are themselves ... -
Outlook On A Worldwide Forest Transition
Pagnutti, Chris; Bauch, Chris T.; Anand, Madhur (Public Library of Science, 2013-10-09)It is not clear whether a worldwide "forest transition" to net reforestation will ever occur, and the need to address the main driver-agriculture-is compelling. We present a mathematical model of land use dynamics based ... -
Parameterizing a dynamic influenza model using longitudinal versus age-stratified case notifications yields different predictions of vaccine impacts
Andrews, Michael A.; Bauch, Chris T. (2018-09-06)Dynamic transmission models of influenza are often used in decision-making to identify which vaccination strategies might best reduce influenza-associated health and economic burdens. Our goal was to use laboratory confirmed ... -
Policy Resistance Undermines Superspreader Vaccination Strategies For Influenza
Wells, Chad R.; Klein, Eili Y.; Bauch, Chris T. (Public Library of Science, 2013-03-01)Theoretical models of infection spread on networks predict that targeting vaccination at individuals with a very large number of contacts (superspreaders) can reduce infection incidence by a significant margin. These models ... -
Revising Ecological Assumptions About Human Papillomavirus Interactions And Type Replacement
Murall, Carmen Lia; McCann, Kevin S.; Bauch, Chris T. (Elsevier, 2014-06-07)The controversy over whether vaccine-targeted HPV types will be replaced by other oncogenic, non-vaccine-targeted types remains unresolved. This is in part because little is known about the ecology of HPV types. Patient ... -
Role Of Word-Of-Mouth For Programs Of Voluntary Vaccination: A Game-Theoretic Approach
Bhattacharyya, Samit; Bauch, Chris T.; Breban, Romulus (Elsevier, 2015-11-01)We propose a model describing the synergetic feedback between word-of-mouth (WoM) and epidemic dynamics controlled by voluntary vaccination. The key feature consists in combining a game-theoretic model for the spread of ... -
Sexual Behavior, Risk Perception, And Hiv Transmission Can Respond To Hiv Antiviral Drugs And Vaccines Through Multiple Pathways
Tully, Stephen; Cojocaru, Monica; Bauch, Chris T. (Nature Publishing Group, 2015-10-28)There has been growing use of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) for HIV and significant progress in developing prophylactic HIV vaccines. The simplest theories of counterproductive behavioral responses to such ...